San Martín San Juan vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
SMA
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 4
SMA
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SMA
0 - 2
VEL
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GOD
2 - 0
SMA
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 1
LAN
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 4
SAR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BRO
0 - 0
RAF
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 0
SMA
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
BRO
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |