San Martín Mendoza vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
7º
6º
25
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CIB
0 - 3
SMA
69%
20%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
CDA
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 0
SMA
53%
25%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
FER
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 0
SMA
40%
29%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 1
JUU
26%
28%
46%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CIB
3 - 0
SPE
70%
20%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 0
CDA
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CSE
4 - 1
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 2
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |