San Martín Mendoza vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
7º
6º
25
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CIB
3 - 0
SMA
67%
21%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
CDA
20%
25%
55%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CSE
1 - 1
SMA
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
FER
37%
29%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 0
SMA
37%
29%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 0
JUU
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 0
SPE
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 3
CDA
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
CSE
3 - 0
SPE
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 1
ATE
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |