San Martín Mendoza vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
46%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
7º
6º
51
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 2
SMA
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
CIB
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 0
SMA
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
CSE
27%
28%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SMA
59%
24%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
SPE
46%
28%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 0
JUU
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 2
CDA
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CSE
0 - 0
JUU
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
FER
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |