Torneo Regional Federal Amateur Final
Global 2-2
San Martín Mendoza vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
DPR
2 - 1
SMA
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
SMA
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SMA
4 - 1
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SMA
4 - 1
ABL
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ABL
1 - 2
SMA
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
DPR
2 - 1
SMA
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
EMI
1 - 1
DPR
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -3 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
DPR
2 - 0
EMI
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
DPR
70%
17%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DPR
1 - 1
EST
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |