San Martín Formosa vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
4º
4º
15
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 20 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 0
SMA
31%
29%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 0
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 0
SMA
28%
29%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
3 - 0
GYT
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
SMA
44%
29%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 0
SAR
33%
29%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
JAN
0 - 0
CDN
37%
29%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 0
SMA
28%
29%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
CDN
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 1
CEN
17%
28%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |