Copa Argentina 1/128
Global 2-4
San Martín Formosa vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CDN
2 - 2
SMA
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SMA
0 - 0
CFE
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
BUC
3 - 0
SMA
77%
17%
6%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 1
GYT
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
AHZ
2 - 0
SMA
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CDN
2 - 2
SMA
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AHZ
0 - 2
CDN
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
CDN
1 - 2
SAR
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
JAN
1 - 1
CDN
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CDN
1 - 0
SJO
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |