San Martín Formosa vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
7º
5º
49
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
9DJ
1 - 0
SMA
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
SOL
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
SMA
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
JAN
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
CDN
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 3
SAR
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
CEN
4 - 1
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
9DJ
3 - 1
CEN
17%
27%
57%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 0
SOL
69%
21%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 0
BUC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |