San Martín Formosa vs CD Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
FON
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 1
SMA
16%
20%
63%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 1
SFE
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 0
SPO
27%
24%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +4 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
SMA
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
COM
4 - 1
SFE
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
COM
54%
22%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
RES
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
COM
4 - 0
ALU
63%
19%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
RES
3 - 1
COM
44%
23%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |