San Martín Formosa vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1974 |
SLM
2 - 2
SMA
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
SMA
1 - 0
ATL
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1974 |
VEL
0 - 0
SMA
85%
11%
5%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
SMA
2 - 0
CFE
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
HUR
1 - 0
SMA
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1974 |
ATT
1 - 1
SMA
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
ATT
2 - 1
SLM
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 3
ATT
62%
21%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ATT
1 - 2
VEL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
CFE
0 - 0
ATT
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |