San Martín Burzaco vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 1
CLA
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 1
SMA
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 4
EXC
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 1
SMA
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
MID
23%
24%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
RPI
3 - 0
VIC
54%
23%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 0
LAM
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BER
4 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
ARM
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 1
VIC
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |