San Martín Burzaco vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RPI
1 - 0
SMA
71%
19%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 2
LAM
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
SMA
67%
20%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 1
ARM
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 0
SMA
45%
25%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
RPI
17%
26%
57%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
LAM
2 - 1
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
BER
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ARM
2 - 0
POR
77%
16%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
PUE
39%
26%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |