San Martín Burzaco vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 0
SMA
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 1
CES
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 2
ITU
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
SMA
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ARQ
3 - 0
SMA
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
ARR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
POR
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
SAC
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
MID
0 - 3
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
CAM
41%
28%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |