San Martín Burzaco vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SBA
0 - 2
SMA
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SMA
4 - 1
ARR
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
SMA
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 0
SMA
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
5 - 0
ARR
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MUÑ
2 - 1
ALE
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 1
POR
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 2
ALE
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |