San Martín Burzaco vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
MUÑ
0 - 3
SMA
9%
18%
73%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
CES
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 2
SMA
24%
24%
53%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
0 - 1
SMA
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
SMA
3 - 1
SMG
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
SMG
45%
26%
30%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
ARR
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
ITU
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
MUÑ
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CES
4 - 0
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |