San Marino U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
81.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
5 - 0
SMR
81%
14%
5%
|
14 | 61 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
IRL
3 - 0
SMR
82%
13%
5%
|
14 | 62 | 48 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 7
NOR
6%
12%
82%
|
14 | 63 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
LVA
2 - 0
SMR
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ISR
2 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 64 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
ITA
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LVA
0 - 0
ITA
6%
15%
80%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 1
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SUI
2 - 3
ITA
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |