San Marino U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
83.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
14%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
6 - 0
SMR
88%
10%
2%
|
18 | 84 | 66 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 2
SWE
8%
17%
75%
|
18 | 74 | 56 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GEO
4 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SMR
1 - 2
EST
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
4 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 67 | 48 | -1 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
6 - 0
SMR
88%
10%
2%
|
84 | 18 | 66 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
NOR
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 3
CRO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 3
ESP
19%
24%
58%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |