San Marino U19 vs Wales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
77.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SCO
5 - 0
SMR
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SWE
2 - 1
SMR
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
SMR
0 - 4
LVA
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DEN
4 - 0
SMR
82%
13%
6%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
CRO
3 - 0
SMR
81%
14%
5%
|
18 | 61 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 2
WAL
49%
23%
29%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 2
SCO
27%
23%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
KAZ
3 - 2
WAL
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
TUR
2 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 2
SVK
21%
21%
59%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |