San Marino U17 vs Bulgaria U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.8%
80.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
18.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SUI
7 - 0
SMR
88%
10%
2%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
5 - 1
SMR
92%
7%
1%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
SMR
0 - 5
ROU
14%
17%
70%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
RUS
6 - 1
SMR
75%
15%
11%
|
11 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
GER
11 - 0
SMR
86%
9%
4%
|
11 | 60 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 2
BGR
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
BGR
0 - 2
SUI
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
FRA
4 - 0
BGR
85%
12%
4%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
BGR
1 - 3
NED
6%
14%
80%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |