San Marino Calcio vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
USC
2 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ABN
0 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
LEO
28%
28%
45%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAV
0 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACL
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 0
REG
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
ACD
30%
29%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 2
ACD
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ACD
2 - 0
FCS
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ABN
3 - 1
ACD
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |