San Marino Calcio vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEL
0 - 0
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COR
2 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
RAV
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
IMO
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
LEG
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
ROM
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
RIB
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |