San Marino Calcio vs Zenith Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
18º
9º
1
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
4 | 70 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 67 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 67 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 62 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 62 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 60 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 54 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 53 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 52 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 49 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 49 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 44 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 35 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 30 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 27 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 24 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 18 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 75% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
4 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
PAV
0 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +14 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAN
84%
13%
3%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
ADR
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 3
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zenith Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
RIC
10%
15%
76%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |