San Marino Calcio vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
VIC
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
VNZ
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FER
3 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 1
VIN
88%
10%
3%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
SPA
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
SPA
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |