San Marino Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SAL
0 - 0
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAV
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 2
TER
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 1
RAV
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
NOV
3 - 0
GIU
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FER
2 - 4
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 1
PRO
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |