San Marino Calcio vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 4
ASD
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
VIS
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 2
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ALF
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |