San Marino Calcio vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
ASC
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
PON
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ACP
2 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 1
LAQ
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LAQ
3 - 0
ASC
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ASG
0 - 0
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ANC
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
LAQ
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |