San Marino Calcio vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
REG
3 - 2
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRO
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
ASG
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAV
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAV
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 2
FOR
57%
25%
17%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
PON
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 0
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
ASC
18%
26%
56%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |