San Marino Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
OLY
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 0
SAN
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 1
CIV
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
FER
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
CIV
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FER
17%
21%
63%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
JES
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |