San Marino Calcio vs Fabriano Cerreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIS
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
SAN
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 2
LAQ
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
REC
2 - 1
FAB
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 3
CAS
46%
23%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
FAB
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 0
OLY
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +4 |