San Marino Calcio vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
OLY
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
USN
91%
7%
2%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
SAN
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAT
17%
25%
58%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
REC
5 - 1
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -3 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVE
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 0
CAS
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAQ
23%
25%
53%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +3 |