San Marino Calcio vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
ALF
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
JES
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
21%
22%
58%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
OLY
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |