San Marino Calcio vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ACL
3 - 2
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
FER
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAG
8%
15%
78%
|
39 | 77 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 1
GIU
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 2
PAD
28%
27%
44%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
PAD
0 - 1
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 1
TRI
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
PAD
0 - 2
SSS
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |