San Marino Calcio vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
PIA
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SAN
52%
27%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 0
PIS
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
ANC
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 2
GRO
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
ANC
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ANC
4 - 0
PIA
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |