San Marino Calcio vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
JES
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
PIN
63%
18%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 0
ASD
18%
20%
63%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 0
ALF
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALF
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JES
2 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |