San Marino Calcio vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
REG
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 4
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 3
FCS
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 0
FCS
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 1
VIC
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PAV
1 - 1
COM
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 3
PAV
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |