San Marino Calcio vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 2
TER
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 2
GEN
14%
24%
63%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
PRO
33%
25%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
GIU
1 - 1
PAV
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
PAV
3 - 0
RAV
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAV
25%
27%
49%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAV
5 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |