San Marino Academy vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
SMA
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 0
SMA
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 2
SGI
21%
22%
58%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAE
3 - 2
SMA
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 1
LIB
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 2
COS
39%
24%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 3
COS
41%
26%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |