San Marino Academy vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 0
SMA
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 1
SMA
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
SMA
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 7
MUR
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 0
SMA
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SGI
0 - 1
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 3
FAE
73%
16%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |