San Marcos Arica vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
60.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
ANT
3 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
IQU
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSD
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COB
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCH
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCO
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 0
EVE
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |