San Marcos Arica vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
12º
26
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
33%
28%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIM
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
USF
0 - 0
MAG
12%
22%
67%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
USF
0 - 0
DLS
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
USF
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 1
USF
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |