San Marcos Arica vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
COB
4 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAG
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
COB
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
COB
6 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
USF
1 - 0
DLS
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
USF
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
USF
2 - 0
PUE
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
USF
2 - 0
CSD
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 3
USF
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |