San Marcos Arica vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MAG
0 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
COB
1 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
COB
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
ANT
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
USF
1 - 3
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
CSD
1 - 1
USF
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
USF
2 - 2
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 3
USF
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
USF
1 - 1
CSD
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |