San Marcos Arica vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OHI
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
UNI
17%
23%
61%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
EVE
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
UCH
6 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 4
NUB
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ULC
2 - 3
UCH
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
ULC
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ULC
2 - 0
CSD
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
UCO
4 - 0
ULC
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ULC
1 - 0
IQU
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |