San Marcos Arica vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
6º
19
2º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 58 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 54 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 51 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 49 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 46 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 44 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 43 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 41 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 37 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
57% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
56.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SWA
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
DLS
2 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 4
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 2
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
DSC
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
DER
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 3
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |