San Marcos Arica vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MAG
3 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAG
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
ANT
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 3
CUR
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
CON
3 - 3
PUE
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
MAG
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
CSD
0 - 1
PUE
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
0 - 1
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |