San Marcos Arica vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
VAL
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
USF
0 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
NUB
2 - 0
FVC
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FVC
0 - 2
NUB
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NUB
1 - 2
COQ
39%
27%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NUB
1 - 1
CDM
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
NUB
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |