San Marcos Arica vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
EVE
3 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
COQ
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 2
NUB
14%
22%
65%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 3
NUB
18%
24%
59%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 1
CUR
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 4
NUB
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |