San Marcos Arica vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
MAG
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MAG
2 - 0
CUR
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NTA
0 - 1
MAG
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MAG
1 - 1
LOT
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
MAG
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MAG
3 - 1
COQ
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |