San Marcos Arica vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 2
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
ANT
48%
24%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 1
MAG
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MAG
2 - 3
ANT
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOT
0 - 1
MAG
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAG
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |