San Marcos Arica vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
DEP
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
DCO
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
LOT
2 - 0
DCO
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LOT
1 - 0
MAG
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CUR
1 - 1
LOT
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DLS
2 - 1
LOT
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |